riskandforecast

Bulgaria

Political Forecast  27/08/09

The New Bulgarian Government Prepares Cut Back

The new CEDB-led government still enjoys the confidence of 72% of the citizens, but the freshly announced cut backs to curb the budget deficit could erode that support fast....
Bulgaria  24/08/09

New Bulgarian Government Focuses on its Predecessor

The new Bulgarian government focused its first efforts on revealing corrupt practices of its forerunners. Measures to address the negative economic situation in the country started to be undertaken...
 
Bulgaria  24/08/09

Diplomatic Tensions between Bulgaria and Macedonia

Jailing a Macedonian resident with Bulgarian citizenship is causing diplomatic tensions between the two countries....
Bulgaria  29/07/09

Minority Government in Bulgaria

The new Bulgarian PM Boyko Borisov decided to constitute a single-party government. He will probably need a coalition partner after a year for stability....
 
Risk Watch  09/07/09

Bulgaria elects a center-right ruling party with 40% Majority

The next government will be dominated by center-right CEDB, that won 116 seats in the 240-member Parliament on the 5th July elections. It will have a tough time, as the deficit is expected to grow....
Bulgaria  18/06/09

Bulgarian results on the European Parliamentary elections seen as indicator

The results of the European Elections in Bulgaria showed that the governing parties still hold majority of the votes, but not enough for a majority after the July elections. FDI saw a 50% decline YoY....
 
Albania  03/06/09

Conflicts and Declining Popularity due to Austerity Measures in Serbia

The government's popularity dipped due to austerity measures required by the IMF stand-by agreement. Also, conflicts arose between the coalition parties due plans to cut the number of ministries....
Bulgaria  26/05/09

GDP-fall in Bulgaria

GDP in Bulgaria fell by 3.5% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2009. Unemployment likely to become a rising economic as well as social problem, especially in the manufacturing industry....
 
Bulgaria  28/04/09

Deepening conflicts in East- and Central-Europe: increasing short-term risks

The governments cannot cooperate with the opposition as it tries to turn the crisis to its own advantage. The crisis deepens existing fault lines that undermine socio-political stability in CEE....
Bulgaria  17/02/09

The loser takes it all? - Crisis management techniques in new EU member states

Countries of the region had to settle in for a long and deep economic slowdown. The political fallout may be the most severe in where loosening the budget is not an option....
 
Bulgaria  12/01/09

The Rise of the Extreme Right in Central-Eastern Europe

In the past two months a number of extreme right were banned by court order in East- and Central-Europe.With a consistent policy, radical rhetoric may lose ground in the medium term....
Bulgaria  19/11/08

Bulgarian Socialist Party: Before Congress

The different groups within the Bulgarian Socialist Party focus on possible partners after the 2009 elections. The party's congress on 22-23 November could cause a rearranging of the forces....
 
Bulgaria  04/11/08

Bulgarian Opposition Stays Divided

The so called “EPP format” consisting of CEDB, UDF and DSB appears to be an ineffective form of oppositional cooperation....
Bulgaria  22/10/08

Infighting within the Bulgarian Socialist Party Continues

The main factor of government instability during the past two weeks continues to be the ongoing struggle between lobbies within the Bulgarian Socialist Party. ...
 
Bulgaria  02/10/08

Infighting Intensifies among Bulgarian Socialists as Congress Approaches

Internal conflict between the circles of Bulgarian Socialist Party has intensified with the National Congress approaching....
Political Forecast  15/09/08

Debates over Budget Surplus Spending Plans in Bulgaria

The government starts the new political season in a stable condition. the budget surplus spending plans could trigger internal confrontation as the three ruling parties stated different priorities....
 
Bulgaria  08/09/08

Georgian-Russian conflict: deepening rift on the Hungarian right

Unexpectedly the Hungarian right-wing and far-right parties and organizations do not reject the Russian standpoint in the Georgian conflict....
Bulgaria  01/09/08

Easing Pressure on the Bulgarian Government

In August public interest in politics is very low. This eased the political pressure by the opposition, calmed down the public discontent towards the government....
 
Bulgaria  18/08/08

Temporary Peace due to the Parliamentary Vacation in Bulgaria

The commemoration of the establishment of the socialist party last week seems to have suppressed the internal conflicts. The parliamentary vacation also brought about the political peace....
Bulgaria  14/08/08

The impacts of the Russian-Georgian war on the CEE countries

After the Russian-Georgian war general anti-Russian sentiments are likely to rise and companies with Russian interests and future Russian investments will face PR problems in the CEE region....
 
 

Log in



Search




Latest blog posts

Fidesz: Can the struggle with Jobbik be won?

Vote now, ask questions later

We are on the new Digg!


In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

Austrumeiropiešu noskaņojums pret bēgļiem (September 12)

Flüchtlinge in Ungarn: Sind unsere Nachbarn wirklich so böse? (September 12)

Hungary's Orban plays for high stakes with tough stance on migrants (September 8)

Ungarns Flüchtlingschaos: Willkommenskultur à la Guantanamo (September 7)

VISEGRAD: Orban's cynical game may yet backfire (September 7)

Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

Hungary’s prime minister becomes Europe’s Donald Trump (September 4)

„Fără politici coerente, criza refugiaţilor poate exploda“ (September 3)

RTL Nieuws - 19:30 uur (September 2)

Węgry.Ekspert: rząd zabiega o korzyści polityczne w związku z imigracją (September 2)



Our Regional Branches

Political Capital Headquarters

Political Capital Bulgaria

Political Capital South-Eastern Europe

Political Capital Gulf


Countries

Albania
Bahrain
Bosnia-Herczegovina
Bulgaria
China
Croatia
Czech Republic
Dubai
Estonia
Europe
France
GCC
Georgia
Greece
Hungary
Iran
Iraq
Jordan
Kosovo
Kuwait
Latvia
Lithuania
Lybia
Macedonia (FYROM)
Montenegro
Oman
Poland
Qatar
Romania
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Syria
Turkey
Ukraine
United Arab Emirates
United Kingdom
United States