riskandforecast

Capital Markets

Hungary  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
Hungary  09/07/09

Chances for Early Elections in Hungary Diminished

With the passage of the tax bill, the chances of early elections in Hungary have diminished. Having implemented almost all components of a short-term crisis management program, it is now in a vacuum....
 

Positive Developments in Montenegro-EU relations

The competent EU bodies (COREPER, GAERC) paved the way for the Montenegrin membership application, and a comprehensive questionnaire will soon be sent to the Montenegrin authorities....
Hungary  04/05/09

Devaluation of real estate funds could destabilize the Hungarian mortgage market

The flight of capital from real estate funds is expected to persist and accelerate. Banks’ eminent interest is to prevent the meltdown of the mortgage market....
 
Albania  08/04/09

Montenegrin Elections Result in a clear win for DPS

The Montenegrin PM, Milo Djukanović-lead DPS cemented its two-decade old rule, and the opposition fragmented further. As a result the new government will have free hand in policy making....
Political Forecast  07/04/09

Gordon Bajnai to Become the New Hungarian PM

Last week the chances for an early election considerably diminished, its not in anyone's interest. Gordon Bajnai will most certainly become the new PM....
 
Kosovo  16/03/09

Internal Feuds in Serbia's Democratic Party (DS)

Although the Democratic Party is stricken by internal feud on several issues, it is still the most popular party, while the opposition parties are locked in battles....
Macedonia (FYROM)  13/03/09

Macedonia Prepares for Local and Presidential Elections

The governing coalition is stable save for a few internal disputes. The conformity to international standards of the upcoming elections will be an benchmark of the country's development....
 
Bulgaria  19/11/08

Bulgarian Socialist Party: Before Congress

The different groups within the Bulgarian Socialist Party focus on possible partners after the 2009 elections. The party's congress on 22-23 November could cause a rearranging of the forces....
Bulgaria  04/11/08

Bulgarian Opposition Stays Divided

The so called “EPP format” consisting of CEDB, UDF and DSB appears to be an ineffective form of oppositional cooperation....
 
Bulgaria  22/10/08

Infighting within the Bulgarian Socialist Party Continues

The main factor of government instability during the past two weeks continues to be the ongoing struggle between lobbies within the Bulgarian Socialist Party. ...
Bulgaria  02/10/08

Infighting Intensifies among Bulgarian Socialists as Congress Approaches

Internal conflict between the circles of Bulgarian Socialist Party has intensified with the National Congress approaching....
 
Political Forecast  15/09/08

Debates over Budget Surplus Spending Plans in Bulgaria

The government starts the new political season in a stable condition. the budget surplus spending plans could trigger internal confrontation as the three ruling parties stated different priorities....
Bulgaria  01/09/08

Easing Pressure on the Bulgarian Government

In August public interest in politics is very low. This eased the political pressure by the opposition, calmed down the public discontent towards the government....
 
 

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