riskandforecast

Serbia

In-depth analysis  08/09/11

Radical right in SEE seeks political gains by attacking gay pride parades

In this study we analyze the position of the far right in respect to the gay rights movement with a special focus on Balkan countries aspiring to enter the European Union....
Political Forecast  28/01/10

US Trip of Montenegrin PM is Seen as a Success

While the decision to establish diplomatic relations with Kosovo has heightened tensions with Serbia in the short term, the move scored political points in both Washington and Brussels....
 
Political Forecast  20/01/10

E.U. Beckons, Economy Bleakens in Montenegro

Montenegro in 2009 saw positive developments in its bid to EU-accession. However, the economic outlook hasn't improved for 2010, which forecasts numerous conflicts in the new year....
In-depth analysis  03/12/09

Russia’s Far-Right Friends

Far-right parties in several eastern European countries have become prominent supporters of Russian interests and admirers of the Russian political-economic model....
 
Political Forecast  03/11/09

The government has stabilized the political and economic situation in Serbia

Serbian parliamentary leaders are able to suppress internal coalition disagreements, but a cabinet reshuffle cannot be ruled out. Ministers of the G17+ could be replaced by more loyal politicians....
Chart of the Week  13/10/09

Ease of doing business - comparative chart between GCC, CEE and SEE regions

The chart shows absolute ranking of the selected countries in the World Bank Doing Business 2010 Report. Most SEE countries have improved their position since the last report. Despite this, they are i...
 
Political Forecast  07/10/09

Stable Montenegrin Government, worrisome economic trends

The government seems stable now, and the opposition is busy with themselves for now. However, the economic problems are growing continuously, and they could pose serious problems in the near future....
Political Forecast  01/10/09

Deteriorating relations between coalition parties in Serbia

The likelihood of early elections in Serbia decreased, but reorganization of the Cvetkovic-government is still on the agenda, as leaders of G17+ are still intend to form a new party....
 
Albania  07/09/09

Montenegrin Government Faces Internal Conflicts

The EU and NATO integration tracks are still considered a success, but coalition conflicts have begun....
Political Forecast  11/08/09

Serious Coalition Troubles in Serbia

The stability of the Serbian government is seriously threatened by internal feuds, while the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) consolidated its dominance in the opposition....
 
Political Forecast  22/07/09

IMF Deal at Risk in Bosnia and Herczegovina

The stand-by agreement with IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree on budget revision....
Political Forecast  21/07/09

The Bosnia and Herzegovina Stand-by Agreement with the IMF is in Question

The BiH stand-by agreement with the IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree upon budget revision. ...
 
Political Forecast  19/06/09

Unsolved Name Issue Plague Macedonian Government

Unsolved name issue might cause turbulence within the government,ethnic Albanian Democratic Union for Integration (DUI) might leave the government before the end of the year....

Name Issue still Plagues Macedonian Government

Macedonia, although hit by the consequences of the financial crisis, continues to remain an economically and politically stable country, although the name issue still divides the government....
 
Political Forecast  03/06/09

Conflicts and Declining Popularity due to Austerity Measures in Serbia

The government's popularity dipped due to austerity measures required by the IMF stand-by agreement. Also, conflicts arose between the coalition parties due plans to cut the number of ministries....
Political Forecast  19/05/09

Positive Developments in Montenegro-EU relations

The competent EU bodies (COREPER, GAERC) paved the way for the Montenegrin membership application, and a comprehensive questionnaire will soon be sent to the Montenegrin authorities....
 
Political Forecast  08/04/09

Montenegrin Elections Result in a clear win for DPS

The Montenegrin PM, Milo Djukanović-lead DPS cemented its two-decade old rule, and the opposition fragmented further. As a result the new government will have free hand in policy making....
Political Forecast  16/03/09

Internal Feuds in Serbia's Democratic Party (DS)

Although the Democratic Party is stricken by internal feud on several issues, it is still the most popular party, while the opposition parties are locked in battles....
 
 

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