riskandforecast

Crisis

Slovakia  24/08/09

Intensifying Coalition Conflicts in Slovakia

Robert Fico decided to ignore the agreement between the ruling coalition parties on ministry appointments after dismissing the Environment Minister....
Czech Republic  17/08/09

Is there a decoupling trend in the region?

The significance of the “common fate” of regional currencies has decreased in recent months. At the beginning of 2009 the Hungarian, the Polish, the Czech and the Romanian currencies still followed th...
 
Risk Watch  15/08/09

UAE Scrapped Minimum Capital Requirement for New Companie

The UAE has scrapped the requirements for new companies to have a minimum capital of Dh 150,000. This will contribute to encouraging new businesses and entrepreneurs to set-up in the UAE....
Hungary  13/08/09

Conflicts over strict election-year budget in Hungary

As the vote on the strict 2010 budget approaches, conflicts between the governing Socialist Party and Hungarian PM Gordon Bajnai became stronger and more visible than before. ...
 
Hungary  13/08/09

Roma Murders in Kisléta Dominate Political Discourse in Hungary

The latest attack against a Roma family in Kislétamoved the Roma issue and public security back to the agenda. Meanwhile, conflicts are expected within the MSZP over the strict 2010 budget....
Kosovo  11/08/09

Serious Coalition Troubles in Serbia

The stability of the Serbian government is seriously threatened by internal feuds, while the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) consolidated its dominance in the opposition....
 
Albania  04/08/09

New Croatian PM Facing the same problems as his predecesssor

The new PM Jadranka Kosor is facing largely the same problems as his predecessor, such as economic slowdown, fight against corruption and organized crime, and EU accession. ...
Bahrain  03/08/09

Financial Woes of Al Gosaibi and Saad Families are Signs of Wider Problem

The global financial crisis that has severely hit parts of the GCC has exposed the vulnerability of the Gulf economies to risks posed by the large exposure of those economies to family businesses....
 

Dubai Issues Second Tranche of Bond Programme

Dubai issued the second US $10 billion tranche of its sovereign bond programme. The vagueness of the announcements accompanying the bond issue raises questions about the health of the Dubai economy....
Czech Republic  29/07/09

Czech GDP to Possibly Fall in 2010 too

According to a revised estimate of the Ministry of Finance the Czech economy is likely to contract by 4.3% this year, which would be the steepest decline in GDP in the history of the Czech Republic....
 
Macedonia (FYROM)  29/07/09

PM Trying to Rebuild his Cabinet after Resignations

Macedonia’s conservative PM Nikola Gruevski is rebuilding his cabinet after the resignations of several ministers....
Romania  29/07/09

Corruption Charges Amid Economic Woes

Romania’s economic outlook has not improved, and the budget deficit is becoming a concern for more economic players, and corruption charges against ministers do not help either....
 
Hungary  29/07/09

The Language Act Continues to Stir Controversies

The Slovak State Language Act is in favour of the leading governing parties regarding the elections due in 2010, but preserves bad relations with Hungary....
Poland  29/07/09

Disagreements between Tusk and Kaczyński hinder budget-controlling efforts

The rising Polish budget deficit pits the PM and the President against each other. Disagreements and political fights endanger the curbing of the deficit....
 
Political Forecast  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
Albania  21/07/09

The Bosnia and Herzegovina Stand-by Agreement with the IMF is in Question

The BiH stand-by agreement with the IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree upon budget revision. ...
 
Risk Watch  15/07/09

Dubai’s Economy Faces More Difficulties

Dubai’s economy faces more difficulties as the merger between lenders and Amlak and Tamweel and their support by the federal government is put into doubt. In addition unemployment is rising....
Hungary  14/07/09

Another record low - accumulating risks in Hungary

The economic and political risk index sank to an all time low in 2008-2009, due primarily to the fact that the crisis has magnifiedand brought to the surface economic, political and social problems. ...
 
Bulgaria  09/07/09

Bulgaria elects a center-right ruling party with 40% Majority

The next government will be dominated by center-right CEDB, that won 116 seats in the 240-member Parliament on the 5th July elections. It will have a tough time, as the deficit is expected to grow....
Czech Republic  09/07/09

Czech budget deficit to approach the Polish

Budget deficit to grow due to flood damage, and continuous debate on the ratification of the Lisbon Treaty....
 
 

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