riskandforecast

Czech Republic

Czech Republic  22/10/09

Who wants to block the Lisbon Treaty?

Looking at the three EU member states that showed the greatest political reluctance to accept the Lisbon Treaty after the Irish „Yes” we can find completely different patterns in public opinion. In Po...
Chart of the Week  13/10/09

Ease of doing business - comparative chart between GCC, CEE and SEE regions

The chart shows absolute ranking of the selected countries in the World Bank Doing Business 2010 Report. Most SEE countries have improved their position since the last report. Despite this, they are i...
 
Bulgaria  06/10/09

Different recovery paths in the CEE region

The IMF revised its global growth prognosis in the autumn edition of World Economic Outlook. Recovery in Europe could be slower than the world average because of economic rigidity. The CEE countries s...
Czech Republic  05/10/09

Czech Political Crisis Results in Consensus behind Strict Budget

The government approved the 2010 draft budget with a deficit of CZK 163 bln, around 5.2% of GDP. The original deficit was expected to be higher until MPs approved austerity measures in Parliament....
 
Czech Republic  05/10/09

Czech Bribery Scandal can Amend Balance of Forces between Parties

MPs resigned after a recent bribery scandal in which politicians from various parties were offered money for political favours....
Czech Republic  21/09/09

Czech politics: a draw game?

After the postponement of early elections, Czech parties got some additional time to persuade the voters.The campaign is expected to be extremely intense, because voters have not yet decided between O...
 
Czech Republic  14/09/09

Hungary – international reserves reach peak

By the end of August, international reserves stepped over 30 billion euros in Hungary. The huge increase in the assets since October 2008 is due to the IMF loan and the mending credibility of the coun...
Czech Republic  24/08/09

Philips-Curve in Slovakia and the Czech Republic

The disputed Philips-curve (showing that inflation and the unemployment rate are inversely proportional) seems to describe accurately the trends in both crisis-hit Slovakia and the Czech Republic. Fal...
 
Risk Watch  24/08/09

Rising Deficit in the Czech Republic

The 0.3 percent Czech GDP-growth (comparing to the previous three months) was communicated as a success and as the first sign of the recovery, but it would be blindfolded to assume an upcoming trend....
Czech Republic  17/08/09

Is there a decoupling trend in the region?

The significance of the “common fate” of regional currencies has decreased in recent months. At the beginning of 2009 the Hungarian, the Polish, the Czech and the Romanian currencies still followed th...
 
Albania  04/08/09

New Croatian PM Facing the same problems as his predecesssor

The new PM Jadranka Kosor is facing largely the same problems as his predecessor, such as economic slowdown, fight against corruption and organized crime, and EU accession. ...
Czech Republic  29/07/09

Czech GDP to Possibly Fall in 2010 too

According to a revised estimate of the Ministry of Finance the Czech economy is likely to contract by 4.3% this year, which would be the steepest decline in GDP in the history of the Czech Republic....
 
Czech Republic  20/07/09

Czech caretaker government rebuilt the confidence in political institutions

After a decline due to the political crisis in March and April, the new caretaker government led by Jan Fischer (and supported by both political sides) was able to increase confidence not only in the ...
Czech Republic  09/07/09

Czech budget deficit to approach the Polish

Budget deficit to grow due to flood damage, and continuous debate on the ratification of the Lisbon Treaty....
 
Czech Republic  18/06/09

ODS comeback on the Czech EP Elections

The European election is seen as an indicator of party strengths ahead of early general elections in the Czech Republic; however, balance of forces can change radically in the next few months....
Czech Republic  26/05/09

Czech interim government: the end of the political crisis?

The interim government’s inauguration provisionally ended the political crisis, but the debate concerning the Treaty of Lisbon is still going on....
 
Bulgaria  28/04/09

Deepening conflicts in East- and Central-Europe: increasing short-term risks

The governments cannot cooperate with the opposition as it tries to turn the crisis to its own advantage. The crisis deepens existing fault lines that undermine socio-political stability in CEE....
In-depth analysis  17/02/09

The loser takes it all? - Crisis management techniques in new EU member states

Countries of the region had to settle in for a long and deep economic slowdown. The political fallout may be the most severe in where loosening the budget is not an option....
 
Bulgaria  12/01/09

The Rise of the Extreme Right in Central-Eastern Europe

In the past two months a number of extreme right were banned by court order in East- and Central-Europe.With a consistent policy, radical rhetoric may lose ground in the medium term....
Bulgaria  14/08/08

The impacts of the Russian-Georgian war on the CEE countries

After the Russian-Georgian war general anti-Russian sentiments are likely to rise and companies with Russian interests and future Russian investments will face PR problems in the CEE region....
 
 

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