riskandforecast

Defense

Hungary  26/03/10

Fidesz treads lightly on budget deficit in election manifesto

As Fidesz gets closer to governance, its politicians are becoming more and more cautious when talking about their program. Fidesz’s policy wonks are putting less emphasis on stimulating the economy....
Bulgaria  19/02/10

Bulgarian Missile Defence Row

PM Borisov must decide whether to risk angering Russia by deciding to host part of the US’s planned missile defence system....
 
Slovenia  03/02/10

2010: Crucial Year for the Coalition in Slovenia

Slovenian government leaders will face an uphill climb this year in implementing their economic program after spending 2009 clumsily trying to find their feet amid the global recession....
Bahrain  02/02/10

Iran threatens GCC states if attacked by West

Increasing tensions between the West and Iran increases the risk of Iranian attacks against Western interests in the GCC....
 
Saudi Arabia  16/12/09

Risk of Houthi conflict turning into Saudi civil war

Saudi Arabia is now well into a full engagement fighting the Houthi rebels. The longer the conflict continue, the greater the risk of it turning into a local Saudi problem....
Saudi Arabia  01/12/09

Fighting intensifies along Saudi-Yemeni border

The sixth Sa’ada war that started off as an internal civil war in Yemen has become a regional conflict....
 
Saudi Arabia  16/11/09

Yemen Saada fighting spills into Saudi Arabia

Fighting in Saadi, Yemen has spread into Saudi Arabia. This threatens to widen the conflict into a longer-term regional one, and result in increasing the risk of ethnic instability in the GCC region....
Yemen  16/11/09

Yemen signs military agreement with US

Yemen will be receiving military aid and training from the US to combat the multiple threats it faces. This will help the government tackle those threats, as it struggles to keep the country united....
 
Saudi Arabia  02/11/09

Shiite rebels clash with Saudi forces near border fence

Clashes were reported between Saudi security forces and Yemeni Shiite rebels as Saudi’s tried to construct a border fence. This threatens to spill into increasing tensions with Saudi Shiites....
Political Forecast  22/07/09

IMF Deal at Risk in Bosnia and Herczegovina

The stand-by agreement with IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree on budget revision....
 
Saudi Arabia  15/07/09

Saudi government awards border fence contract

The erection of a 9000 km border fence around Saudi Arabia will dramatically reduce the threat of Al Qaeda terrorists crossing between Saudi Arabia and Yemen....
Croatia  09/03/09

No Threats to Government Stability in Slovenia for the Moment

Slovenia continues to remain an economically and politically stable country, but the border dispute with Croatia puts burden on the government...
 
 

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