riskandforecast

Election

Slovakia  06/04/10

Smer set to win, but an absolute majority is not guaranteed

At least four parties are running between 4% and 7%, making it very difficult to predict how many parties will pass the 5% threshold – or the composition of the next Slovakian parliament....
Hungary  26/03/10

Fidesz treads lightly on budget deficit in election manifesto

As Fidesz gets closer to governance, its politicians are becoming more and more cautious when talking about their program. Fidesz’s policy wonks are putting less emphasis on stimulating the economy....
 
Hungary  23/03/10

Fidesz Prepares for Governance with a Market-Friendly Program

Fidesz, which had been pursuing a strategy of “tactical reticence” in its campaign communications, recently released its election manifesto entitled “The Politics of National Affairs.”...

“Legislators” demand setting of an election date as tensions rise in the UAE

Members of the UAE legislature, the Federal National Council, are increasingly becoming vocal that no election date has been set....
 
Hungary  16/03/10

To stand down or not to stand down?

The first round of Hungary’s elections on April 11 will fundamentally change the country’s political landscape. The political dividing line may shift radically....
Hungary  09/03/10

Race for the right-wing voters between FIDESZ and JOBBIK

With a little more than a month to go before Hungary holds parliamentary elections, the main opposition party Fidesz continues to enjoy a massive advantage, opinion polls show. With 60% support among ...
 
Bulgaria  09/03/10

Fight against organized crime boosts government's strength in Bulgaria

Public attention is focused on the special operations against organized crime. These operations will allow GERB to establish a normal chain of command in the security services....
Hungary  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
 
Montenegro  01/03/10

DPS strengthens its domination of the Montenegrin political scene

Neither the hardships of the global economic crisis nor a scathing IMF report on Montenegro’s fiscal performance has managed to loosen the governing Democratic Party of Socialists’s grip on power....
Czech Republic  22/02/10

New-style politics a success in the Czech Republic

The leading Czech political parties' popularity is decreasing, indicating rising disappointment with the political elite. This trend signifies increasing demand for politicians who are new, or have pr...
 
Czech Republic  19/02/10

The Czech Election Race is Totally Open

The Czech Republic's election race is wide open: Two-, three-, or maybe even four-party coalitions are all possible, including the Communists taking part in a government lead by the Social Democrats....
Poland  19/02/10

Polish Politicking: See Donald (not) Run

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced that he will not run for the presidency later this year, spurring speculation on whom the Civic Platform (PO) will choose as a candidate....
 
Czech Republic  19/02/10

Slovak PM Fico Heads into June Elections with no Credible Challenger

Slovakia’s senior governing party Smer may be able to gain an absolute majority in the June elections, unless most small parties pass the 5% for parliamentary representation....
Hungary  19/02/10

New Slovak Unemployment Record when Recession Slowed

Unemployment is growing increasingly critical. Slovakia’s joblessness stood at 13.6% in December, making it the "leader" in CEE....
 
Political Forecast  15/02/10

Support for the Macedonian Government Remains High

The latest polls show the greatest number of Macedonians supporting the governing coalition, but some of them indicate the main opposition party is closing the gap....
Hungary  10/02/10

A Two-Thirds Majority for Fidesz – Chances, Opportunities and Risks

The opposition Fidesz party is heading into the April election campaign with such a commanding opinion-poll lead that it may gain a two-thirds majority in Parliament....
 
Hungary  03/02/10

Socialist woes in Hungary

The Socialists and the governments suffered numerous setbacks. The property tax has been abolished, more and more heads roll at BKV and the party's poll numbers failed to improve....
Hungary  25/01/10

Fidesz super-majority possible, but comes with major liability

The closer we get to election day, the more we will hear about Fidesz’s chances of winning a two-thirds majority in parliament....
 
Czech Republic  21/01/10

Czech General Election Most Likely in May 2010

President Klaus plans to call general elections on May 28 and 29, the latest possible dates. The president’s views on the timing of the election are unlikely to change....
Poland  21/01/10

Positive economic developments, but mounting question marks

Poland’s economy has pleased investors and other stakeholders with a stream of positive data over the last few weeks....
 
 

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