riskandforecast

Hungary

Hungary  24/07/09

Bajnai's Government Strengthened

Political developments of the past weeks have strengthened the Hungarian government's stability and minimised the chances of an early election. ...
Hungary  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
 
Hungary  17/07/09

Hungarian Guard banned

The dissolution of the Hungarian Guard may radicalize and mobilize the far right....
Hungary  14/07/09

Another record low - accumulating risks in Hungary

The economic and political risk index sank to an all time low in 2008-2009, due primarily to the fact that the crisis has magnifiedand brought to the surface economic, political and social problems. ...
 
Hungary  09/07/09

Slovakian Opposition Steps up Attacks

Former Slovakian PM Mikuláš Dzurinda is attacking the government with a similar rhetoric as Mr. Fico did before the 2006 elections. The Hungarian-Slovakian relationship hasn't improved....
Hungary  09/07/09

Chances for Early Elections in Hungary Diminished

With the passage of the tax bill, the chances of early elections in Hungary have diminished. Having implemented almost all components of a short-term crisis management program, it is now in a vacuum....
 
Hungary  06/07/09

Hungary: lost advantage in economic growth since 2006

Between 1996 and 2006, Hungary seemed to be a country with much greater economic growth potential than the countries of the Eurozone. This trend was broken in 2006, when the austerity measures of the ...
Hungary  02/07/09

The Crisis of the Hungarian Socialist Party

Tensions within the Socialist Party are rising, both generational and ideological. The stability of the is not yet affected, but the real test will be the passing of the 2010 budget later this year....
 
Hungary  29/06/09

Popularity of Government and EU Hand in Hand

Since joining the European Union, the trend of trust in the EU and in the national governments has moved in parallel in Hungarian public opinion polls. The voters project their overall sentiments abou...
Hungary  16/06/09

Unstability Follows EP Elections in Hungary

Major conflicts are ahead, and the government's fate hinges on the tax bill vote in Parliament. ...
 
Hungary  14/06/09

Dissolution of the Hungarian Guard may radicalize and mobilize the far right

The dissolution of the Hungarian Guard could be an efficient tool for the law enforcement bodies to fight against extremism in Hungary. ...
Hungary  10/06/09

Consequences of the European Parliamentary election in Hungary

Fidesz won the EP election decisively, transforming a rigid party system. Anti-Romaism became a dominant force in politics. Government support became more fragile, with pressure to soften its program....
 
Albania  03/06/09

Conflicts and Declining Popularity due to Austerity Measures in Serbia

The government's popularity dipped due to austerity measures required by the IMF stand-by agreement. Also, conflicts arose between the coalition parties due plans to cut the number of ministries....
Political Forecast  19/05/09

Positive Developments in Montenegro-EU relations

The competent EU bodies (COREPER, GAERC) paved the way for the Montenegrin membership application, and a comprehensive questionnaire will soon be sent to the Montenegrin authorities....
 
Hungary  15/05/09

Huge Opposition Victory in Pécs, Hungary

MSZP suffered a staggering defeat in the mayoral elections of Pécs, and that can be seen as an indicator to the EP elections....
Hungary  13/05/09

Shift in Hungary’s Russian policy

The change in government represents a shift in foreign policy as well, and, thanks to mutual gestures of good will, an earlier cool relationship between the cabinet and Mol appears to be on the mend....
 
Hungary  04/05/09

Devaluation of real estate funds could destabilize the Hungarian mortgage market

The flight of capital from real estate funds is expected to persist and accelerate. Banks’ eminent interest is to prevent the meltdown of the mortgage market....
Hungary  29/04/09

New Hungarian PM, New Program

The new Bajnai government's program was well received, but it can alter public opinion for the worse before the European parliamentary elections....
 
Bulgaria  28/04/09

Deepening conflicts in East- and Central-Europe: increasing short-term risks

The governments cannot cooperate with the opposition as it tries to turn the crisis to its own advantage. The crisis deepens existing fault lines that undermine socio-political stability in CEE....
Hungary  21/04/09

New Hungarian Government Starts Long Awaited Spending Cuts

The newly formed Bajnai-government in Hungary has released its crisis-management plans to curb the budget deficit and counterweight the effects of the global financial crisis....
 
 

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