riskandforecast

In-depth analysis

Hungary  02/11/10

The bank tax in Europe and Hungary

While currently it appears to be a success story from an economic and political point alike, the introduction of the bank tax presents significant risks already in the medium term....
Hungary  14/10/10

Reform plans – How will Fidesz spend the next four years?

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, slammed by opposition leaders and market analysts for his secretive approach to policymaking, has now removed all doubt....
 
Bulgaria  16/09/10

Anti-Immigrant Prejudice in Central and Eastern Europe

Political Capital's analysis on attitudes toward migrants in Hungary, Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Slovenia and Poland....
Hungary  08/07/10

Deeply Unhealthy

Economist: „A commendably thorough paper from Political Capital, a Budapest-based research outfit, highlights the mess the new government has inherited and the unrealistic nature of its promises"...
 
Hungary  06/07/10

How Medicine May Break The Bank

In 2010, Hungary’s governing Fidesz party raised expectations for healthcare that are going to be hard to meet. If Fidesz fails to live up to them, an opportunity may open for the extreme right....
Hungary  09/06/10

Hungary Faces Mounting Risks of Corruption, Prejudice and Press Restrictions

Hungary’s 2010 Political Risk Index (PRI) score is 66 points – the first year the country’s political risk has declined since the index began in 2005....
 
Czech Republic  02/06/10

Major lessons of elections in the Czech Republic

While the formation of a minority government cannot be ruled out, a three-party right-wing coalition led by Petr Nečas is a more likely scenario....
In-depth analysis  06/05/10

Greece: On the Road to “Symmetric Radicalization”

Hostility toward international financial institutions skyrocketed in Greece after its government agreed to austerity measures in return for economic assistance from the IMF and the EU....
 
Bulgaria  11/02/10

Back by Popular Demand

The extreme right is in demand - at least in Eastern Europe. That's the conclusion of Political Capital Institute’s Demand for Right-Wing Extremism Index (DEREX), published in Hungarian weekly HVG....
Bulgaria  03/12/09

Russia’s Far-Right Friends

Far-right parties in several eastern European countries have become prominent supporters of Russian interests and admirers of the Russian political-economic model....
 
Hungary  28/10/09

Reasons Behind the Resurgence of the Far Right in Hungary

Society’s demand for extremist political solutions over the past three years has been met with policies offered by Jobbik and the two strains have mutually reinforced each other. ...
Hungary  27/07/09

No economic policy shift expected in Hungary following the election

Despite generous promises, once in power Fidesz will be unable to splurge and reverse all policy decisions passed by the Bajnai-cabinet; such steps would go against its own vested interests. ...
 
In-depth analysis  04/05/09

Devaluation of real estate funds could destabilize the Hungarian mortgage market

The flight of capital from real estate funds is expected to persist and accelerate. Banks’ eminent interest is to prevent the meltdown of the mortgage market....
Hungary  21/04/09

New Hungarian Government Starts Long Awaited Spending Cuts

The newly formed Bajnai-government in Hungary has released its crisis-management plans to curb the budget deficit and counterweight the effects of the global financial crisis....
 
Bulgaria  17/02/09

The loser takes it all? - Crisis management techniques in new EU member states

Countries of the region had to settle in for a long and deep economic slowdown. The political fallout may be the most severe in where loosening the budget is not an option....
Hungary  05/12/08

Can Hungary become a bioethanol superpower?

Biofuels production offers an economic growth potential for Hungary in the short- and medium term, moreover, first-generation biofuels may utilize annual surpluses of agricultural production....
 
Hungary  18/10/08

Extremists increase their influence over society in Hungary

Far right activism since the autumn of 2006 have increased its potential social base and political playing room. Anti-Semitism and anti-roma sentiment continue to be a major identity-building force....
Hungary  11/06/08

Fidesz and economic policy risks

While the detailed economic policy of Fidesz leaders cannot be foreseen from their declarations, it became obvious that the next government also will have a tight room for economic maneuvering....
 
 

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In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

Austrumeiropiešu noskaņojums pret bēgļiem (September 12)

Flüchtlinge in Ungarn: Sind unsere Nachbarn wirklich so böse? (September 12)

Hungary's Orban plays for high stakes with tough stance on migrants (September 8)

Ungarns Flüchtlingschaos: Willkommenskultur à la Guantanamo (September 7)

VISEGRAD: Orban's cynical game may yet backfire (September 7)

Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

Hungary’s prime minister becomes Europe’s Donald Trump (September 4)

„Fără politici coerente, criza refugiaţilor poate exploda“ (September 3)

RTL Nieuws - 19:30 uur (September 2)

Węgry.Ekspert: rząd zabiega o korzyści polityczne w związku z imigracją (September 2)



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