riskandforecast

Political Forecast

Hungary  13/08/09

Roma Murders in Kisléta Dominate Political Discourse in Hungary

The latest attack against a Roma family in Kislétamoved the Roma issue and public security back to the agenda. Meanwhile, conflicts are expected within the MSZP over the strict 2010 budget....
Political Forecast  11/08/09

Serious Coalition Troubles in Serbia

The stability of the Serbian government is seriously threatened by internal feuds, while the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) consolidated its dominance in the opposition....
 
Political Forecast  04/08/09

New Croatian PM Facing the same problems as his predecesssor

The new PM Jadranka Kosor is facing largely the same problems as his predecessor, such as economic slowdown, fight against corruption and organized crime, and EU accession. ...
Hungary  24/07/09

Bajnai's Government Strengthened

Political developments of the past weeks have strengthened the Hungarian government's stability and minimised the chances of an early election. ...
 
Hungary  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
Political Forecast  22/07/09

IMF Deal at Risk in Bosnia and Herczegovina

The stand-by agreement with IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree on budget revision....
 
Political Forecast  21/07/09

The Bosnia and Herzegovina Stand-by Agreement with the IMF is in Question

The BiH stand-by agreement with the IMF is jeopardized by the FBiH government’s inability to agree upon budget revision. ...
Hungary  09/07/09

Chances for Early Elections in Hungary Diminished

With the passage of the tax bill, the chances of early elections in Hungary have diminished. Having implemented almost all components of a short-term crisis management program, it is now in a vacuum....
 
Political Forecast  19/06/09

Unsolved Name Issue Plague Macedonian Government

Unsolved name issue might cause turbulence within the government,ethnic Albanian Democratic Union for Integration (DUI) might leave the government before the end of the year....
Political Forecast  19/06/09

Name Issue still Plagues Macedonian Government

Macedonia, although hit by the consequences of the financial crisis, continues to remain an economically and politically stable country, although the name issue still divides the government....
 
Hungary  16/06/09

Unstability Follows EP Elections in Hungary

Major conflicts are ahead, and the government's fate hinges on the tax bill vote in Parliament. ...
Political Forecast  03/06/09

Conflicts and Declining Popularity due to Austerity Measures in Serbia

The government's popularity dipped due to austerity measures required by the IMF stand-by agreement. Also, conflicts arose between the coalition parties due plans to cut the number of ministries....
 
Political Forecast  03/06/09

Governing Parties Lag Behind the Opposition before the EP Elections

The governing parties are behind the opposition in the polls before the EP elections. The coalition is expected to pick up 4, the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 2 seats and New Slovenia (NSi)1 seat....
Political Forecast  19/05/09

Positive Developments in Montenegro-EU relations

The competent EU bodies (COREPER, GAERC) paved the way for the Montenegrin membership application, and a comprehensive questionnaire will soon be sent to the Montenegrin authorities....
 
Croatia  19/05/09

Problems Characterize the Government's first 6 Months

Borut Pahor’s ruling has been marked by three issues: the global economic crisis, the Slovenian-Croatian border dispute, attacks of the opposition a discreet criticism of the coalition partners....
Hungary  15/05/09

Huge Opposition Victory in Pécs, Hungary

MSZP suffered a staggering defeat in the mayoral elections of Pécs, and that can be seen as an indicator to the EP elections....
 
Hungary  29/04/09

New Hungarian PM, New Program

The new Bajnai government's program was well received, but it can alter public opinion for the worse before the European parliamentary elections....
Political Forecast  16/04/09

Macedonian Elections stablilize the Country

Results of presidential and municipal elections have stabilized the position of the government, giving it unprecedented power....
 
Political Forecast  08/04/09

Montenegrin Elections Result in a clear win for DPS

The Montenegrin PM, Milo Djukanović-lead DPS cemented its two-decade old rule, and the opposition fragmented further. As a result the new government will have free hand in policy making....
Hungary  07/04/09

Gordon Bajnai to Become the New Hungarian PM

Last week the chances for an early election considerably diminished, its not in anyone's interest. Gordon Bajnai will most certainly become the new PM....
 
 

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