riskandforecast

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Poland  14/12/09

Polish PM Donald Tusk Still the Presidential Frontrunner

The Blackjack-gate scandal has failed to put a notable dent in Donald Tusk's and the Civic Platform's popularity....
Romania  14/12/09

Presidential Vote Fails to Break the Romanian Political Deadlock

The contest between incumbent Traian Băsescu and his Social Democratic opponent, Mircea Geoană, was a nail-biter until the very end. However, it failed to result in a clear cut situation....
 
Slovakia  14/12/09

Slovak State Eyes First “Strategic Enterprise” for Acquisition

Slovakian leaders are engaged in a quarrel over the new law that lets the state to take over bankrupt companies deemed "strategic." The first target: Chemical firm Novácke Chemické Závody (NChZ)....
Slovenia  09/12/09

Privatization is in sight to mitigate the budget shortfall in Slovenia

Many economic analysts say Slovenia will not be able to avoid a new wave of privatization.Some assert that the government is already drawing up a list of companies in which to divest....
 
Montenegro  09/12/09

Going into debt seems unavoidable for the Montenegrin government

Montenegro’s 2010 budget foresees an ever-narrowing range of financial resources as the crisis grinds on. The state will probably be forced to go into debt in order to keep fiscal equilibrium....
Romania  08/12/09

Presidential Vote Fails to Resolve Political Deadlock

Hopes that Romania's presidential election would break the political logjam were dashed as accusations of election fraud undermine the credibility of incumbent President Băsescu’s slim victory....
 
Czech Republic  07/12/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery: Czech Rep.

The unpredictable nature of the Czech Republic’s political landscape is the source of the country’s biggest challenges in recovering from the economic downturn....
Poland  23/11/09

Risk Factors that could hinder economic recovery in Poland

Poland’s economy showed surprising resilience to the crisis. However, some economic and political factors can still hold back the country's recovery and hamper economic growth after the crisis....
 
Bulgaria  23/11/09

2010 Budget Passed in Bulgaria

The new government has passed its first major political hurdle, as Parliament passed the 2010 Budget by a safe margin. In addition, GERB made a clean sweep in this month’s mayoral by-elections....
Romania  18/11/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery in Romania

Acute political instability, risk of insolvency and lack of political transparency with misuse of funds and electoral fraud are the crucial risk factors that could hinder economic recovery in Romania....
 
Romania  10/11/09

Does Traian Basescu still enjoy the voters’ support?

According to the latest national survey of Insomar polling institue, Romanian citizens primarily blame President Basescu for the current political insta...
Bulgaria  09/11/09

Draft 2010 Budget Approved by the Bulgarian Government

The Bulgarian government approved the 2010 draft budget which contains tough needed austerity measures. It now faces two readings in Parliament, but its passage is likely....
 
Hungary  02/11/09

Political meddling - backroom agreement over commercial radio stations

The cancellation of the operating licenses of two commercial radio stations and granting these to new operators affiliated with MSZP and Fidesz represents gross and blatant interference in the media....
Hungary  30/10/09

Party preferences in Hungary, October 2009

More than one third of voting-age Hungarians say they back the main opposition party, Fidesz, outnumbering supporters of the governing Socialist Party (MSZP) by a margin of 3:1, according to the lates...
 
Hungary  28/10/09

Reasons Behind the Resurgence of the Far Right in Hungary

Society’s demand for extremist political solutions over the past three years has been met with policies offered by Jobbik and the two strains have mutually reinforced each other. ...
France  26/10/09

The Suez affair in Hungary: Fidesz and the foreign investors

The decision of the Fidesz-led municipal government to unilaterally terminate a contract with French Suez Environnement, minority owner of the municipal water works in Pécs raise political risks....
 
Kosovo  22/10/09

Stable Macedonian Government, but Clashes over an Encyclopaedia

The Macedonian Government and the economy remains stable, but the Macedonian Encyclopaedia caused stirs in the coalition. There were also positive developments in EU integration and Kosovan matters...
Montenegro  07/10/09

Stable Montenegrin Government, worrisome economic trends

The government seems stable now, and the opposition is busy with themselves for now. However, the economic problems are growing continuously, and they could pose serious problems in the near future....
 
Czech Republic  05/10/09

Czech Bribery Scandal can Amend Balance of Forces between Parties

MPs resigned after a recent bribery scandal in which politicians from various parties were offered money for political favours....
Hungary  24/09/09

Passing the budget is the key to success for the Hungarian government

In the coming period, the government’s success depends on the passage of the 2010 budget, fundamentally accepted by international investors, as well as adherence to key 2009 budget figures....
 
 

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