riskandforecast

Risk Warning

Risk Warning  12/04/11

Dubai faces mini-boom

The UAE and the emirate of Dubai in particular are likely to experience a mini-boom as a result of the regional situation....
Risk Warning  15/02/10

British Business Secretary Calls Dubai to Solve its Problems

The call by British Business Secretary Lord Mandelson calling on Dubai to resolve its debt problem puts further pressure on Dubai to put its act together....
 
Kuwait  02/02/10

Parliament passes capital market law

The Kuwaiti parliament unanimously passed the first reading of the Capital Market bill that calls for stringent supervision and regulation of the Kuwait Stock Market....
Dubai  26/11/09

Dubai Government’s Seeking for Debt Repayment "Standstill" Shatters Confidence

Dubai World, owned by the Dubai government will ask creditors for a “standstill” and an extension of maturities for all debt to “at least 30 May 2010” according to an official statement....
 
Hungary  11/11/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery in Hungary

Large inactive population, high and badly structured state redistribution, corruption, possible ethnic tensions and the emergence of the far-right are the key risk factors in Hungary....
France  26/10/09

The Suez affair in Hungary: Fidesz and the foreign investors

The decision of the Fidesz-led municipal government to unilaterally terminate a contract with French Suez Environnement, minority owner of the municipal water works in Pécs raise political risks....
 
Risk Warning  03/08/09

Financial Woes of Al Gosaibi and Saad Families are Signs of Wider Problem

The global financial crisis that has severely hit parts of the GCC has exposed the vulnerability of the Gulf economies to risks posed by the large exposure of those economies to family businesses....
Hungary  14/07/09

Another record low - accumulating risks in Hungary

The economic and political risk index sank to an all time low in 2008-2009, due primarily to the fact that the crisis has magnifiedand brought to the surface economic, political and social problems. ...
 
Risk Warning  28/04/09

Deepening conflicts in East- and Central-Europe: increasing short-term risks

The governments cannot cooperate with the opposition as it tries to turn the crisis to its own advantage. The crisis deepens existing fault lines that undermine socio-political stability in CEE....
Hungary  16/04/09

Crisis poses threat to pension benefits and the pension reform alike

The economic crisis threatens all three pillars of the Hungarian pension system. The next government(s) under pressure would have to simultaneously meet conflicting the expectations/needs....
 
Hungary  03/04/09

Hungary: Breaking up with the region?

On the 4th of March the Hungarian currency began to fall, contrary to the rising currencies of other national currencies region. After a sudden fall the EUR/HUF rate reached the limit of 312....
Risk Warning  02/04/09

Russian Economic Expansion Targets Hungary

Russia’s political and economic influence in Hungary significantly rose after Surgutneftegaz unexpectedly bought a 21% stake in Mol, Hungary’s national oil company....
 
Hungary  13/02/09

Anti-Roma sentiment is getting out of hand in Hungary

The process that started in the autumn of 2006 with the Olaszliszka lynching seems to be completing its course. Political discourse on the Roma question has swung from one extreme to the other....
Dubai  12/02/09

Drop of population will lead to further financial troubles in Dubai

The population of the emirate of Dubai is expected to drop by between 14 % and 28 % by the end of 2009....
 
Bulgaria  12/01/09

The Rise of the Extreme Right in Central-Eastern Europe

In the past two months a number of extreme right were banned by court order in East- and Central-Europe.With a consistent policy, radical rhetoric may lose ground in the medium term....
Hungary  03/11/08

The political consequences of the financial crisis in Hungary

The financial rescue package has restored the confidence in the Hungarian economy and currency in the short run. However, there is a risk that the crisis will amplify the existing deficiencies....
 
Romania  13/10/08

Wage hikes in Romania: spreading the Hungarian disease

Romania has dropped into the election year spending trap, as seen in Hungary in 2002 and 2006. Romania may set back as a result of the motion and face fiscal, competitiveness and growth problems....
Hungary  02/06/08

Tension grows between the NBH and the political elite

The National Bank of Hungary (NBH) was criticized by both the Hungarian government and the opposition after increasing the interest rate. We expect the political pressure to increase in the future....
 
Hungary  16/05/08

‘State dependence’ of Hungarians is a major block to economic growth

Economic and political processes in Hungary are extensively influenced by voters’ anti-market and anti-competition sentiments. This has a considerably negative effect on competitiveness. ...
Hungary  22/04/08

The implications of a European slowdown for Hungary

The US subprime crisis will substantially reduce economic growth in the US and in Europe. As a result, Hungarian exports will likely decline and reduce the chances of a healthy economic growth....
 
 

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In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

Austrumeiropiešu noskaņojums pret bēgļiem (September 12)

Flüchtlinge in Ungarn: Sind unsere Nachbarn wirklich so böse? (September 12)

Hungary's Orban plays for high stakes with tough stance on migrants (September 8)

Ungarns Flüchtlingschaos: Willkommenskultur à la Guantanamo (September 7)

VISEGRAD: Orban's cynical game may yet backfire (September 7)

Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

Hungary’s prime minister becomes Europe’s Donald Trump (September 4)

„Fără politici coerente, criza refugiaţilor poate exploda“ (September 3)

RTL Nieuws - 19:30 uur (September 2)

Węgry.Ekspert: rząd zabiega o korzyści polityczne w związku z imigracją (September 2)



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