Risk Warning
The UAE and the emirate of Dubai in particular are likely to experience a mini-boom as a result of the regional situation....
The call by British Business Secretary Lord Mandelson calling on Dubai to resolve its debt problem puts further pressure on Dubai to put its act together....
The Kuwaiti parliament unanimously passed the first reading of the Capital Market bill that calls for stringent supervision and regulation of the Kuwait Stock Market....
Dubai World, owned by the Dubai government will ask creditors for a “standstill” and an extension of maturities for all debt to “at least 30 May 2010” according to an official statement....
Large inactive population, high and badly structured state redistribution, corruption, possible ethnic tensions and the emergence of the far-right are the key risk factors in Hungary....
The decision of the Fidesz-led municipal government to unilaterally terminate a contract with French Suez Environnement, minority owner of the municipal water works in Pécs raise political risks....
The global financial crisis that has severely hit parts of the GCC has exposed the vulnerability of the Gulf economies to risks posed by the large exposure of those economies to family businesses....
The economic and political risk index sank to an all time low in 2008-2009, due primarily to the fact that the crisis has magnifiedand brought to the surface economic, political and social problems. ...
The governments cannot cooperate with the opposition as it tries to turn the crisis to its own advantage. The crisis deepens existing fault lines that undermine socio-political stability in CEE....
The economic crisis threatens all three pillars of the Hungarian pension system. The next government(s) under pressure would have to simultaneously meet conflicting the expectations/needs....
On the 4th of March the Hungarian currency began to fall, contrary to the rising currencies of other national currencies region. After a sudden fall the EUR/HUF rate reached the limit of 312....
Russia’s political and economic influence in Hungary significantly rose after Surgutneftegaz unexpectedly bought a 21% stake in Mol, Hungary’s national oil company....
The process that started in the autumn of 2006 with the Olaszliszka lynching seems to be completing its course. Political discourse on the Roma question has swung from one extreme to the other....
The population of the emirate of Dubai is expected to drop by between 14 % and 28 % by the end of 2009....
In the past two months a number of extreme right were banned by court order in East- and Central-Europe.With a consistent policy, radical rhetoric may lose ground in the medium term....
The financial rescue package has restored the confidence in the
Hungarian economy and currency in the short run. However, there is a risk that the crisis will amplify the existing deficiencies....
Romania has dropped into the election year spending trap, as seen in Hungary in 2002 and 2006. Romania may set back as a result of the motion and face fiscal, competitiveness and growth problems....
The National Bank of Hungary (NBH) was criticized by both the Hungarian government and the opposition after increasing the interest rate. We expect the political pressure to increase in the future....
Economic and political processes in Hungary are extensively influenced by voters’ anti-market and anti-competition sentiments. This has a considerably negative effect on competitiveness. ...
The US subprime crisis will substantially reduce economic growth in the US and in Europe. As a result, Hungarian exports will likely decline and reduce the chances of a healthy economic growth....