riskandforecast

ethnic tension

Risk Watch  03/08/12

Unprecedented tribal clashes in Sanaa and Italian diplomat kidnapped

The Yemeni capital Sana’a has witnessed unprecedented clashes as tribal fighters loyal to ousted president Ali Abdullah Saleh took over the Interior Ministry building....
Risk Watch  17/07/12

Saudi authorities arrest Shiite leader triggering protests

Saudi Arabia has arrested leading hardline Shiite cleric Nimr al-Nimr, triggering protests in the Eastern Province.The protesters have expressed solidarity with Bahrain....
 
Risk Watch  17/07/12

Diplomatic tensions between Saudi Arabia, Gulf and Russia intensify

Russia and Saudi Arabia have exchanged strong criticisms of each other, with the Russians accusing the Saudis of human rights abuses in the Eastern Province....
Risk Watch  17/07/12

Bahraini government pays compensation to victims of unrest

The Bahraini government has started paying compensation to the families of the 17 protestors killed during the unrest in the country last year....
 
Risk Watch  18/06/12

Bahrain Appeals Court convicts medics for role in uprising

Bahrain’s Appeals Court has convicted nine medics for their alleged role in the local unrest. All the medics are Shiite....
Risk Watch  17/05/12

Dozens killed in fighting between US-backed government forces and AQAP

Dozens of civilians and militants were killed in the most intensive fighting in Yemen since the fall of the former President....
 
Risk Watch  17/05/12

GCC countries fail to agree on Saudi-Bahrain proposed union as Iran threatens

The failure of the GCC to accept or even negotiate a Saudi proposal for further integration is a blow to the Saudi regional position....
Risk Watch  03/05/12

Formula 1 held in Bahrain with limited unrest

The successful and relatively peaceful conclusion of Formula-1 in Bahrain eliminates the immediate risk of intense civil clashes....
 
Risk Watch  18/04/12

Kuwait’s parliament passed a law making blasphemy punishable by law

Kuwait’s parliament passed a law making blasphemy punishable by law. The law could be used to prosecute Shiites, potentially creating a serious long-term rift between Shiites and Sunnis....
Risk Watch  18/04/12

Formula 1 announcement triggers protests

Bahrain’s Shiites have called for mass protests against the decision to hold Formula One in the country....
 
In-depth analysis  26/07/11

The political prospects of the radical right in Hungary

Following its mayoral election victory in Gyöngyöspata, Jobbik is guaranteed to make regular references to it and see its policy of generating ethnic tensions in small communities justified....
Risk Watch  30/06/11

Saleh clings to power as AQAP makes further advances

Yemen’s president Ali Abdullah Saleh remains defiant about his imminent return to Yemen. This indicates that the Saudis have still not been able to broker a deal. ...
 
Risk Watch  17/06/11

Saleh goes to Saudi Arabia for treatment as Yemen falls into further chaos

With the situation still unresolved, the return to normality will likely take longer as Yemen is gripped by mass protests, and parts of the country falling into the hands of militants....
Risk Watch  03/06/11

Civil war erupts in Yemen as GCC initiative fails

Yemen has erupted into civil war with various parts of the country falling under the control of opposition groups, including AQAP....
 
Risk Watch  17/05/11

Dozens of protesters killed and wounded in continuing protests in Yemen

The stagnation of the Yemeni crisis are significantly increasing the risk of a civil war....
Risk Watch  17/05/11

Bahrain to lift state of emergency from June 1

The King’s decision to lift the state of emergency days before it is due to expire and its welcome by the Shiite opposition indicates that both sides are ready to start reconciliation efforts....
 
Flash Report  16/05/11

Jobbik needs Jews to run the world

This is an edited & updated version of a talk given at the “Conspiracy Theories and Anti-Semitism” conference organised by Political Capital & held recently at the Central European University....
In-depth analysis  13/05/11

Multiculturalism in the Cross-Hairs

The debate on the social integration of the Muslim minority totalling 5 to 8 per cent of the population has risen to the highest political level in the large receiving countries in Europe. ...
 
In-depth analysis  04/05/11

The second season of patrolling in Hungary

Background of recent events in Gyöngyöspata – an In-Depth analysis by Political Capital....
Risk Watch  02/05/11

Iran relations with GCC deteriorate markedly

The relationships between the GCC and Iran have deteriorated on a number of fronts....
 
 

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In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

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