riskandforecast

GDP

Chart of the Week  18/04/12

GDP Growth in the Visegrad Four

According to the IMF's recently published Spring Edition of World Economic Outlook, GDP will probably stagnate this year in Hungary and in the Czech Republic, while the other two V4 members could achi...
Syria  30/06/11

Protests continue as Assad's promise of reforms fails to appease protestors

Syria’s president has failed to appease protestors, as he promised to make political reforms. The situation appears to be escalating....
 
Oman  17/01/11

Oman approves five-year development plan and endorses record 2011 budget

Oman endorses another five-year development plan. The plan will contribute further to the so far apparently successful economic efforts by the government to diversify the economy....
Hungary  29/11/10

Fidesz phase two: unraveling Orbán's oxymoron

Now that voters have handed PM Viktor Orbán what amounts to a blank cheque to govern, he is ready to begin the second phase of his governance: cleaning up the budget mess and spurring economic growth...
 
Hungary  05/11/10

Evaluating the 2011 Budget

Hungary’s draft budget for 2011 aims to keep the deficit at less than 3% of GDP, meeting the Maastricht criteria for euro adoption for the first time since 1995....
Hungary  03/09/10

Hungary Faces Increasing Pressure from Abroad

Fidesz’s changes to the election law have made it hard for politicians to run for Budapest mayor. ...
 
Hungary  20/07/10

IMF Casts Doubt on Hungary’s Fiscal Strategy

Although Hungary currently has no urgent need for outside financing, the IMF loan served as a safety net should the country find itself in a tight spot....
Dubai  16/06/10

U.A.E. economy becomes a two-tier economy, Dubai still facing problems

The UAE and Dubai economies appear to be decoupled. The UAE is projecting growth of up to 4% next year, while Dubai continues to slump. Further contraction in Dubai is expected this year....
 
Risk Watch  06/04/10

Macedonia's Economy Registered 1.2% Growth

Macedonia registered year-on-year GDP growth of 1.2% in the fourth quarter of 2009. However, it is too early for the country to claim that its economy has completely recovered from the economic crisis...
Poland  06/04/10

Euro Adoption – Prospects and Threats: POLAND

The issue of adopting the euro is on the political backburner in Poland. The mounting public debt and the budget deficit make it impossible for Poles to join the Eurozone before 2016....
 
Oman  18/03/10

Oman’s economy better than expected in 2009 as oil production goes up

Data released by the Omani Central Bank and government show that Oman’s economy has fared better than predicted and better than most other GCC economies....
Greece  03/03/10

The impact of the Greek crisis on Hungary

Hungary, which was close to bankruptcy at the end of 2008, made brutal spending cuts. The Greek government meanwhile responded to the crisis with lavishly spending money that it did not have....
 
Hungary  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
Bulgaria  19/02/10

Bulgarian GDP Nosedives in 2009

Bulgarian GDP fell 5.1% in 2009 year-on-year – contracting for the first time since 1997, when GDP shrank 5.6%, according to preliminary data from the National Statistical Institute (NSI)....
 
Risk Watch  19/02/10

Election Campaign Does Not Favour the Czech Economy

The Czech economy unexpectedly contracted 0.6% in the fourth quarter of 2009. This followed two quarterly increases that had pulled the country out of recession....
Poland  19/02/10

Polish Plan to Tackle Budget Deficit and State Debt Revealed

The government presented its plan to tackle the budget deficit and soaring government debt at the beginning of February....
 
Romania  19/02/10

Light at the End of the Tunnel in Romania

Romania’s economy is on the path to recovery at long last, but the government still faces a rough road ahead....
Hungary  19/02/10

New Slovak Unemployment Record when Recession Slowed

Unemployment is growing increasingly critical. Slovakia’s joblessness stood at 13.6% in December, making it the "leader" in CEE....
 
Political Forecast  16/02/10

Montenegro trades barbs with IMF in loan negotiations

Montenegro’s loan negotiations with the International Monetary Fund hang in the balance after the IMF pinpointed several shortcomings in Montenegrin finances....
Political Forecast  15/02/10

Support for the Macedonian Government Remains High

The latest polls show the greatest number of Macedonians supporting the governing coalition, but some of them indicate the main opposition party is closing the gap....
 
 

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In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

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Flüchtlinge in Ungarn: Sind unsere Nachbarn wirklich so böse? (September 12)

Hungary's Orban plays for high stakes with tough stance on migrants (September 8)

Ungarns Flüchtlingschaos: Willkommenskultur à la Guantanamo (September 7)

VISEGRAD: Orban's cynical game may yet backfire (September 7)

Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

Hungary’s prime minister becomes Europe’s Donald Trump (September 4)

„Fără politici coerente, criza refugiaţilor poate exploda“ (September 3)

RTL Nieuws - 19:30 uur (September 2)

Węgry.Ekspert: rząd zabiega o korzyści polityczne w związku z imigracją (September 2)



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