riskandforecast

Gordon Bajnai

Flash Report  05/11/12

Silent no more - Gordon Bajnai’s experimental laboratory

During the 23 October 1956 commemoration both the governing parties and the opposition essentially launched their campaigns a year and a half ahead of the spring 2014 elections....
Political Forecast  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
 
Political Forecast  03/02/10

Socialist woes in Hungary

The Socialists and the governments suffered numerous setbacks. The property tax has been abolished, more and more heads roll at BKV and the party's poll numbers failed to improve....
Hungary  21/12/09

Hungarian Parties Gearing Up for Campaign

Most Hungarian parties have finished their preparations for the election campaign, and the political debate next year will be dominated by the quest for votes....
 
Hungary  08/12/09

2010 Budget Passed in Hungary

The smooth passage of the 2010 budget marks the beginning of the end for the Bajnai cabinet. The budget was the government’s last major hurdle....
Risk Warning  11/11/09

Most Significant Risk Factors that Could Hinder Economic Recovery in Hungary

Large inactive population, high and badly structured state redistribution, corruption, possible ethnic tensions and the emergence of the far-right are the key risk factors in Hungary....
 
Risk Warning  26/10/09

The Suez affair in Hungary: Fidesz and the foreign investors

The decision of the Fidesz-led municipal government to unilaterally terminate a contract with French Suez Environnement, minority owner of the municipal water works in Pécs raise political risks....
Political Forecast  19/10/09

Conflicts within MSZP consolidate the Hungarian PM's position

The break-up of the Budapest MSZP-SZDSZ coalition will not have a tangible effect on the passage of the 2010 budget, a majority of the SZDSZ faction in Parliament is expected to support the budget....
 
Flash Report  13/08/09

Conflicts over strict election-year budget in Hungary

As the vote on the strict 2010 budget approaches, conflicts between the governing Socialist Party and Hungarian PM Gordon Bajnai became stronger and more visible than before. ...
Political Forecast  13/08/09

Roma Murders in Kisléta Dominate Political Discourse in Hungary

The latest attack against a Roma family in Kislétamoved the Roma issue and public security back to the agenda. Meanwhile, conflicts are expected within the MSZP over the strict 2010 budget....
 
Political Forecast  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
Political Forecast  24/07/09

Bajnai's Government Strengthened

Political developments of the past weeks have strengthened the Hungarian government's stability and minimised the chances of an early election. ...
 
Political Forecast  09/07/09

Chances for Early Elections in Hungary Diminished

With the passage of the tax bill, the chances of early elections in Hungary have diminished. Having implemented almost all components of a short-term crisis management program, it is now in a vacuum....
Flash Report  02/07/09

The Crisis of the Hungarian Socialist Party

Tensions within the Socialist Party are rising, both generational and ideological. The stability of the is not yet affected, but the real test will be the passing of the 2010 budget later this year....
 
Political Forecast  16/06/09

Unstability Follows EP Elections in Hungary

Major conflicts are ahead, and the government's fate hinges on the tax bill vote in Parliament. ...
Political Forecast  15/05/09

Huge Opposition Victory in Pécs, Hungary

MSZP suffered a staggering defeat in the mayoral elections of Pécs, and that can be seen as an indicator to the EP elections....
 
Flash Report  13/05/09

Shift in Hungary’s Russian policy

The change in government represents a shift in foreign policy as well, and, thanks to mutual gestures of good will, an earlier cool relationship between the cabinet and Mol appears to be on the mend....
Political Forecast  29/04/09

New Hungarian PM, New Program

The new Bajnai government's program was well received, but it can alter public opinion for the worse before the European parliamentary elections....
 
In-depth analysis  21/04/09

New Hungarian Government Starts Long Awaited Spending Cuts

The newly formed Bajnai-government in Hungary has released its crisis-management plans to curb the budget deficit and counterweight the effects of the global financial crisis....
Political Forecast  07/04/09

Gordon Bajnai to Become the New Hungarian PM

Last week the chances for an early election considerably diminished, its not in anyone's interest. Gordon Bajnai will most certainly become the new PM....
 
 

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In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

Austrumeiropiešu noskaņojums pret bēgļiem (September 12)

Flüchtlinge in Ungarn: Sind unsere Nachbarn wirklich so böse? (September 12)

Hungary's Orban plays for high stakes with tough stance on migrants (September 8)

Ungarns Flüchtlingschaos: Willkommenskultur à la Guantanamo (September 7)

VISEGRAD: Orban's cynical game may yet backfire (September 7)

Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

Hungary’s prime minister becomes Europe’s Donald Trump (September 4)

„Fără politici coerente, criza refugiaţilor poate exploda“ (September 3)

RTL Nieuws - 19:30 uur (September 2)

Węgry.Ekspert: rząd zabiega o korzyści polityczne w związku z imigracją (September 2)



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