riskandforecast

IMF

Flash Report  06/06/12

Government continues to play for time

The government appears to preserve its delaying tactics with regard to negotiations over a credit line with international organizations....
Flash Report  18/01/12

The current state of the loan agreement and the options of the government

By now Viktor Orbán has manoeuvred himself into a corner where his options are limited to bad and even worse political choices....
 
Flash Report  02/01/12

Hungary: against the wall

The foundering of loan negotiations would definitely leave the Hungarian economy in a catastrophic state with potentially serious domestic political consequences....
Flash Report  28/11/11

IMF-deal: the stress-test of the Orbán-government

Moody’s downgrade of Hungary’s sovereign debt to ‘junk’ status is a clear sign that the government’s eccentric and “unorthodox” economic policy has proved unsuccessful....
 
Flash Report  31/05/11

Mol-affair: Foreign policy coup with potentially risky consequences

On May 24, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán unexpectedly, although not without preliminaries, announced: the government acquired the 21.2% stake of Russia’s Surgutneftegaz in MOL for EUR 1.88 billion....
Political Forecast  03/09/10

Hungary Faces Increasing Pressure from Abroad

Fidesz’s changes to the election law have made it hard for politicians to run for Budapest mayor. ...
 
Political Forecast  20/07/10

IMF Casts Doubt on Hungary’s Fiscal Strategy

Although Hungary currently has no urgent need for outside financing, the IMF loan served as a safety net should the country find itself in a tight spot....
Political Forecast  01/06/10

Conflicts with the Central Bank and the northern neighbour

As the new government will have little room for boosting the budget deficit, its economic policy will not represent a sharp turn from that pursued by the Bajnai-cabinet....
 
In-depth analysis  06/05/10

Greece: On the Road to “Symmetric Radicalization”

Hostility toward international financial institutions skyrocketed in Greece after its government agreed to austerity measures in return for economic assistance from the IMF and the EU....
Flash Report  26/04/10

Hungary will have its Strongest Government since the Transition

With 68% of the seats in Parliament, Hungarian Prime Minister-in-waiting Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party will be able to form the most stable government Hungary has had since the transition....
 
Flash Report  26/04/10

An economic house divided

Fidesz, the party that scored an unassailable majority Hungary’s parliament this month, may discover that it has pitched its tent too wide....
Romania  06/04/10

Euro Adoption – Prospects and Threats: ROMANIA

Joining the Eurozone is one of the few political issues in Romania upon which all major political parties agree....
 
Romania  06/04/10

The Romanian economy refuses to budge

The economic situation in Romania could well be worse than the government makes it out to be....
Political Forecast  26/03/10

Fidesz treads lightly on budget deficit in election manifesto

As Fidesz gets closer to governance, its politicians are becoming more and more cautious when talking about their program. Fidesz’s policy wonks are putting less emphasis on stimulating the economy....
 
Flash Report  23/03/10

Fidesz Prepares for Governance with a Market-Friendly Program

Fidesz, which had been pursuing a strategy of “tactical reticence” in its campaign communications, recently released its election manifesto entitled “The Politics of National Affairs.”...
Flash Report  03/03/10

The impact of the Greek crisis on Hungary

Hungary, which was close to bankruptcy at the end of 2008, made brutal spending cuts. The Greek government meanwhile responded to the crisis with lavishly spending money that it did not have....
 
Political Forecast  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
Political Forecast  01/03/10

DPS strengthens its domination of the Montenegrin political scene

Neither the hardships of the global economic crisis nor a scathing IMF report on Montenegro’s fiscal performance has managed to loosen the governing Democratic Party of Socialists’s grip on power....
 
Romania  19/02/10

Light at the End of the Tunnel in Romania

Romania’s economy is on the path to recovery at long last, but the government still faces a rough road ahead....
Romania  19/02/10

IMF Review Positive for Romania

Romania can expect the long-awaited third and fourth installments of its stand-by loan from the IMF after the Fund gave Romania’s economy a favorable review last month....
 
 

Log in



Search




Latest blog posts

Fidesz: Can the struggle with Jobbik be won?

Vote now, ask questions later

We are on the new Digg!


In the media

Criticism of 'xenophobic' Hungary mounts after border clashes (September 17)

Austrumeiropiešu noskaņojums pret bēgļiem (September 12)

Flüchtlinge in Ungarn: Sind unsere Nachbarn wirklich so böse? (September 12)

Hungary's Orban plays for high stakes with tough stance on migrants (September 8)

Ungarns Flüchtlingschaos: Willkommenskultur à la Guantanamo (September 7)

VISEGRAD: Orban's cynical game may yet backfire (September 7)

Unabashed Viktor Orban stands firm on migrants (September 4)

Hungary’s prime minister becomes Europe’s Donald Trump (September 4)

„Fără politici coerente, criza refugiaţilor poate exploda“ (September 3)

RTL Nieuws - 19:30 uur (September 2)

Węgry.Ekspert: rząd zabiega o korzyści polityczne w związku z imigracją (September 2)



Our Regional Branches

Political Capital Headquarters

Political Capital Bulgaria

Political Capital South-Eastern Europe

Political Capital Gulf


Countries

Albania
Bahrain
Bosnia-Herczegovina
Bulgaria
China
Croatia
Czech Republic
Dubai
Estonia
Europe
France
GCC
Georgia
Greece
Hungary
Iran
Iraq
Jordan
Kosovo
Kuwait
Latvia
Lithuania
Lybia
Macedonia (FYROM)
Montenegro
Oman
Poland
Qatar
Romania
Russia
Saudi Arabia
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Syria
Turkey
Ukraine
United Arab Emirates
United Kingdom
United States