riskandforecast

MDF

Political Forecast  26/03/10

Fidesz treads lightly on budget deficit in election manifesto

As Fidesz gets closer to governance, its politicians are becoming more and more cautious when talking about their program. Fidesz’s policy wonks are putting less emphasis on stimulating the economy....
Chart of the Week  09/03/10

Race for the right-wing voters between FIDESZ and JOBBIK

With a little more than a month to go before Hungary holds parliamentary elections, the main opposition party Fidesz continues to enjoy a massive advantage, opinion polls show. With 60% support among ...
 
Political Forecast  02/03/10

Of Programs and Popularity

Fidesz continues to dominate the polls, regardless of accusations that it does not have a program. The Socialists are pushing a more populist tone in order to mobilize their traditional voters....
Flash Report  10/02/10

A Two-Thirds Majority for Fidesz – Chances, Opportunities and Risks

The opposition Fidesz party is heading into the April election campaign with such a commanding opinion-poll lead that it may gain a two-thirds majority in Parliament....
 
Political Forecast  03/02/10

Socialist woes in Hungary

The Socialists and the governments suffered numerous setbacks. The property tax has been abolished, more and more heads roll at BKV and the party's poll numbers failed to improve....
Political Forecast  21/12/09

Hungarian Parties Gearing Up for Campaign

Most Hungarian parties have finished their preparations for the election campaign, and the political debate next year will be dominated by the quest for votes....
 
Hungary  24/07/09

Improving Hungarian Economy Stabilizes Government

Successes in the economic sphere will improve government stability, and the government will continue to handle adherence to the 2009 3.9% GDP-rated deficit as a top priority....
Hungary  09/07/09

Chances for Early Elections in Hungary Diminished

With the passage of the tax bill, the chances of early elections in Hungary have diminished. Having implemented almost all components of a short-term crisis management program, it is now in a vacuum....
 
Hungary  16/06/09

Unstability Follows EP Elections in Hungary

Major conflicts are ahead, and the government's fate hinges on the tax bill vote in Parliament. ...
Political Forecast  15/05/09

Huge Opposition Victory in Pécs, Hungary

MSZP suffered a staggering defeat in the mayoral elections of Pécs, and that can be seen as an indicator to the EP elections....
 
Political Forecast  29/04/09

New Hungarian PM, New Program

The new Bajnai government's program was well received, but it can alter public opinion for the worse before the European parliamentary elections....
Political Forecast  07/04/09

Gordon Bajnai to Become the New Hungarian PM

Last week the chances for an early election considerably diminished, its not in anyone's interest. Gordon Bajnai will most certainly become the new PM....
 
Political Forecast  05/03/09

Weakening Hungarian PM

Numerous setbacks weakened the PM before the MSZP congress. Fidesz's strategy seems unchanged, regardless of the crisis and the rising far-right....
Political Forecast  06/02/09

Hungarian Government Announced Tax Package to Regain the Offensive

At Parliament’s extraordinary session the PM announced a larger-than-expected HUF 1000 bln tax reform package, well received by economic players. Ferenc Gyurcsány wants to regain the offensive. ...
 
Hungary  13/01/09

Stable PM, Rising Risks in Hungary

Thanks to the passage of the budget and his management of the crisis, Ferenc Gyurcsány’s position has stabilized. However, he faces an active Fidesz and a worsening economy....
Hungary  12/12/08

The Crisis Stays in the Center of Hungarian Politics

The economic crisis has the government with little room for maneuvering until the 2010 election. Fidesz seems to have abandoned hopes for an early election and plans on taking over in 2010....
 
Hungary  11/11/08

Hungary In the Crisis: Union Strikes and Rising Tensions with Slovakia

Atrocities at a soccer match in Dunajská Streda/Slovakia lead to rising tensions with Slovakia. Due to the crisis-mandated austerity measures, unions plan strikes. The IMF granted a rescue package....
Political Forecast  04/09/08

Hungarian PM's Fate Hinges on the 2009 Budget

The fate of Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsány and the minority government will be determined by the two major issues before Parliament this fall: the tax legislation and the budget....
 
Political Forecast  18/08/08

In Wait for an Action Plan in Hungary

The government will reveal its action plan for Parliament’s autumn session in late August or early September. SZDSZ will decide on whether or not to support the government after they have seen it....
Political Forecast  02/07/08

Gains for the Hungarian Left

Ferenc Gyurcsány’s position as the head of the government and MSZP has improved. SZDSZ has also strengthened, which could make it a possible ally to FIDESZ in seeking early elections....
 
 

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