Risk Watch

Saudi Arabia  18/06/12

Saudi Crown Prince Nayef Dies

Although his successor is likely to be Prince Salman, and will likely be chosen speedily, it re-opens the internal debate about the longer term succession in the Kingdom....
GCC  04/06/12

Oil prices drop below GCC breakeven due to worsening global economy

The downward pressure on the price of oil resulting from the worsening global economic situation has cancelled out the upward pressure resulting from the risk of an Iran war....
Yemen  04/06/12

Yemen on brink of famine as Friends of Yemen pledge aid

Aid agencies have warned that Yemen is on the brink of famine....
Bahrain  04/06/12

Bahrain sentences 6 to 15 year jail terms on terror charges

Bahrain has sentenced six Shiites to 15 years in prison for alleged Iranian-back terrorist attacks in the country....
Iran  04/06/12

Saudi Arabia pledges to build nuclear bomb after Iran

The publication of threats by Saudi Arabia to build a nuclear bomb if Iran does, places the country under an increased risk level....
Qatar  04/06/12

Fire at Doha’s main mall kills 19 victims

A massive fire at Qatar’s leading shopping mall that led to the deaths of 19 people will likely lead to an adverse impact on the country’s construction industry and the Qatari economy....
Yemen  17/05/12

Dozens killed in fighting between US-backed government forces and AQAP

Dozens of civilians and militants were killed in the most intensive fighting in Yemen since the fall of the former President....
Bahrain  17/05/12

GCC countries fail to agree on Saudi-Bahrain proposed union as Iran threatens

The failure of the GCC to accept or even negotiate a Saudi proposal for further integration is a blow to the Saudi regional position....
Bahrain  17/05/12

US resumes arms sales to Bahrain

The US administration announced that it has decided to proceed with arms sales to Bahrain, despite the ongoing upheaval and protests from both the US Congress and global human rights groups....
Saudi Arabia  17/05/12

Key Saudi conservative cleric sacked

The sacking, apparently at the request of the leader of the conservative camp Prince Nayef, reflects growing rifts both within the Saudi establishment as well as within the conservative camp itself....
Dubai  17/05/12

Dubai property prices rise

Data shows that the property prices in Dubai have risen for the first time since the credit crunch....
Yemen  03/05/12

Yemeni army officers agree to step down

The agreement by Saleh loyalists to step down from key military posts reduces the risk level for further integration of the Yemeni state. ...
Qatar  03/05/12

Qatar faces intensified Arab media and cyber attacks

The intensification of cyber and media attacks against Qatar have substantially increased....
Bahrain  03/05/12

Formula 1 held in Bahrain with limited unrest

The successful and relatively peaceful conclusion of Formula-1 in Bahrain eliminates the immediate risk of intense civil clashes....
Kuwait  03/05/12

Kuwaiti Parliament rejects key four-year development plan

Kuwait parliament's rejection to pass the government's four year development plan raises the level of both economic and political risk....
Iran  03/05/12

Escalation of rhetoric with Iran as Peninsula Shield holds UAE drills

The escalation of rhetoric between the UAE and Iran continues and increases the overall risk of a diplomatic and possibly in the long-term a military confrontation....
GCC  18/04/12

GCC accuses Iran of provocation as Ahmadinejad visits disputed islands

Tensions have escalated between the UAE and Iran, after Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad visited the UAE island of Abu Musa, occupied by Iran....
Dubai  18/04/12

Dubai Group restarts debt talks

Dubai Group has offered to restart talks with creditors to discuss payback of US$10 billion of debt....
Yemen  18/04/12

Army commanders refuse President’s order to step-down

The Yemeni regime appears to be divided in the handling of Saleh loyalists, after President Hadi sacked senior Saleh supporters from key civil and military positions....
Yemen  18/04/12

Hundreds killed in clashes in South Yemen as government cracks down on AQAP

Clashes between AQAP fighters and government forces have left hundreds killed....

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